Ivan Rubachev

Deep learning models for supervised learning on tabular data are rapidly improving. Notably, ensembles (mixtures of multiple models) often play an important role in achieving top performance, which motivates designing ensemble-first systems rather than treating ensembling as an ad hoc trick. In this work, we present TabPack — a new ensembling approach that packs many base model–optimizer pairs with different hyperparameters into a single neural network and a single optimizer. The base model and optimizer hyperparameters are sampled randomly, after which all base models are trained in parallel, and the final ensemble is built on the fly during training. As a result, TabPack produces powerful ensembles in a single run, with substantial efficiency gains over traditional approaches. With its remarkable efficiency, strong performance on medium-to-large datasets, and reduced reliance on traditional hyperparameter tuning, TabPack is an appealing solution for practitioners and researchers that makes tabular DL more accessible on consumer-grade hardware and suggests a new avenue for designing better tabular deep learning systems.

Recent advancements in tabular deep learning have demonstrated exceptional practical performance, yet the field often lacks a clear understanding of why these techniques actually succeed. To address this gap, our paper highlights the importance of the concept of data (aleatoric) uncertainty for explaining the effectiveness of recent tabular DL methods. While data uncertainty leads to irreducible prediction errors on test samples, it also introduces stochasticity into the training signal that can impede effective learning. We demonstrate that tabular methods differ significantly in their ability to cope with this optimization challenge. Specifically, we reveal that the success of many beneficial design choices in tabular DL, such as numerical feature embeddings, advanced ensembling strategies, retrieval-augmented models, and tabular Prior-Fitted Networks, can be partially attributed to their respective implicit mechanisms for performing well under high data uncertainty. By dissecting these varied mechanisms, we provide a unifying understanding of recent performance improvements. Furthermore, leveraging insights from this perspective, we design a novel, more effective numerical feature embedding method as an immediate practical outcome of our analysis. Overall, our work paves the way toward a principled understanding of the benefits introduced by modern tabular methods that results in the concrete advancements of existing techniques and outlines future research directions for tabular DL.

Advances in machine learning research drive progress in real-world applications. To ensure this progress, it is important to understand the potential pitfalls on the way from a novel method's success on academic benchmarks to its practical deployment. In this work, we analyze existing tabular deep learning benchmarks and find two common characteristics of tabular data in typical industrial applications that are underrepresented in the datasets usually used for evaluation in the literature. First, in real-world deployment scenarios, distribution of data often changes over time. To account for this distribution drift, time-based train/test splits should be used in evaluation. However, existing academic tabular datasets often lack timestamp metadata to enable such evaluation. Second, a considerable portion of datasets in production settings stem from extensive data acquisition and feature engineering pipelines. This can have an impact on the absolute and relative number of predictive, uninformative, and correlated features compared to academic datasets. In this work, we aim to understand how recent research advances in tabular deep learning transfer to these underrepresented conditions. To this end, we introduce TabReD — a collection of eight industry-grade tabular datasets. We reassess a large number of tabular ML models and techniques on TabReD. We demonstrate that evaluation on both time-based data splits and richer feature sets leads to different methods ranking, compared to evaluation on random splits and smaller number of features, which are common in academic benchmarks. Furthermore, simple MLP-like architectures and GBDT show the best results on the TabReD datasets, while other methods are less effective in the new setting.